![]() |
Back to the deformation and Stress Change Modeling home page
Back to the team's online recent papers pages
Fred F. Pollitz, Chuck
Wicks, Wayne Thatcher
U.S. Geological Survey,
MS 977, 345 Middlefield Road Menlo Park, CA, USA
Abstract: Two recent large earthquakes in the Mojave Desert, California--the magnitude 7.3 1992 Landers and magnitude 7.1 1999 Hector Mine earthquakes--have each been followed by elevated crustal strain rates over periods of months and years. Geodetic data collected after the Hector Mine earthquake exhibit a temporally decaying horizontal velocity field and a quadrant uplift pattern opposite to that expected for localized shear beneath the earthquake rupture. We interpret the origin of this accelerated crustal deformation to be vigorous flow in the upper mantle in response to the stress changes generated by the earthquake. Our results suggest that transient flow in the upper mantle is a fundamental component of the earthquake cycle and that the lower crust is a coherent stress guide coupling the upper crust with the upper mantle.
Mineral physics dictates that beneath the continental upper crust, the temperature
of rocks is sufficiently high that the underlying lower crust and mantle flow
through various solid state creep mechanisms (1-4). The mechanics
of stress evolution in Earth's continental crust remain to be resolved. Central
issues are whether strain accumulation in continental shear zones is driven by
thick bounding blocks or by localized shear beneath the faults, whether the lower
crust flows more or less readily than the upper mantle, and whether faults penetrate
to depths substantially greater than seismogenic depths (~15 km in the western
United States). Postseismic readjustment of the crust after the 16 October
1999 Hector Mine earthquake (Fig. 1A) carries large signals
from potentially deep flow processes, and observations of this readjustment can
characterize its mechanism, as well as yield clues to the rheology of the lower
crust and upper mantle.
Fig. 1. (A) Background map indicating the most substantial
earthquakes in the Mojave Desert from 1992 to 2000. Gray lines delineate the area
covered in the following subplots. (B, C, and E) Observed
ascending orbit wrapped interferograms during various time periods after the Hector
Mine earthquake (9). One color cycle represents 28 mm of ground
displacement away from the satellite with look and track angles (8)
of 23° and S77°E, respectively. (D and F) Predictions
of range change according to the viscoelastic and afterslip models, respectively,
for the time period 20 October 1999 to 21 June 2000. The variance reduction of
these models with respect to the observed interferogram in (E) is 67% and -56%,
respectively. Peak-to-peak signal is generally slightly greater than 28 mm and
is almost entirely captured with one color cycle.
We analyzed synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) and Global Positioning System (GPS) data collected during the first 9 months after the Hector Mine earthquake (Figs. 1, B, C, and E, and 2, A and B) to determine the postseismic surface velocity field. The Hector Mine earthquake involved about 2 m of right-lateral slip along a 40- to 50-km-long fault (5, 6), and the event altered the rate and pattern of regional aseismic crustal deformation. The InSAR data recorded range change, the change in distance between Earth's surface and an orbiting satellite (7, 8), during the 9-month postseismic epoch. The measured range change is attributed primarily to vertical movement of Earth's surface but is also affected by horizontal movements. A total of three image pairs, covering three different time periods over the first 9 months of the postseismic epoch, were used to construct the interferograms (Fig. 1, B, C, and E) (9). GPS data carry independent information about horizontal and vertical movements, but we restrict our analysis to the horizontal velocity field changes because of their relatively small errors.
Fig. 2. Observed horizontal velocity field with respect to a
regional ITRF97 reference frame and 95% confidence regions compiled from 29 continuous
and campaign GPS stations (32). Superimposed are the predictions
of the (A) afterslip and (B) viscoelastic models. Two red line segments
in (A) denote traces of vertical afterslip planes used in the afterslip modeling.
(C) GPS time series with standard errors at three sites labeled by green
arrows in (B) with corresponding cumulative displacement (green line) according
to the viscoelastic model.
Postseismic InSAR deformation exhibits local, near-fault motions, but here
we focus on the long-wavelength signal (>~30 km), which exhibits
a quadrant pattern. This pattern is similar for the three depicted
time periods, as shown by the interferograms and a fault-parallel
profile (Fig. 3). The two independent longer interferograms
(Figs. 1, C and E, and 3, B and
C), which have no scenes in common, show the strongest similarities, including
range decrease lobes (predominantly uplift) centered on (35.1°N,
-116.0°E) and (34.3°N,
-116.3°E) and a range change increase lobe (subsidence) near (34.7°N,
116.8°E).
The short, 1-month-long interferogram (Figs. 1B
and 3A) has lower amplitudes, but it shares the
same long-wavelength behavior west of the Hector Mine fault. Features
near the eastern edge of the interferograms represent elevation-dependent
noise (Fig. 1, B, C, and E). If interpreted in
terms of vertical motions, the range change pattern would indicate
~15 to 20 mm of uplift in the north and south quadrants and
a similar amount of subsidence in the east and west quadrants. The
InSAR and GPS data sets contain about 30 to 40 mm/year
of velocity signals; the horizontal postseismic velocity is about
four times higher than the cumulative pre-1992 velocity across all
of the central Mojave faults (10, 11).
These features suggest a deep transient source for the postseismic
deformation, and we consider two possible processes: (i) afterslip
on discrete planes underlying the Hector Mine seismogenic ruptures
and (ii) broadly distributed viscoelastic flow in the ductile lower
crust and upper mantle (12). For purposes of modeling,
we use the 20 October 1999 to 21 June 2000 time
period for the InSAR and GPS data sets.
Fig. 3. Observed unwrapped range change along profile A-A' (Fig.
1) for the time periods (A) 20 October 1999 to 24 November 1999 (0
to 1 month), (B) 20 October 1999 to 21 June 2000 (0 to 8 months), and (C)
24 November 1999 to 26 July 2000 (1 to 9 months). Superimposed are viscoelastic
model predictions for three possible values of mantle viscosity. (D) Solid
curves: L1-norm misfit of observed post-Hector Mine range change
along profile A-A' with respect to the viscoelastic model as a function of
m,
with absolute minima normalized to unity. Dashed curves: misfit of observed post-Landers
range change with respect to the viscoelastic model derived with interferograms
from 3 months to 3 years (16) and 1 year to 3 years (33)
after the Landers earthquake. In all cases, a fixed ratio of
c/
m
= 27 is assumed.
In our modeling approach, we consider three-dimensional displacement at point
on Earth's surface between times
t1 and t2 as
| |
| |
(1) |
The secular tectonic velocity field is constructed from a uniform engineering
shear strain rate of 0.1 µstrain/year resolved on a N40°W-trending
vertical plane, approximately the pre-Landers horizontal deformation
field (11). The utrans and utilt
terms are determined by inversion of the data simultaneously with
the deformation processes and remove the influence of errors in the
reference frame of the data sets for that particular time interval.
These arise mainly from imperfect knowledge of satellite orbits in
the InSAR data as well as the motion of the Hector Mine epicentral
area with respect to the regional International Terrestrial Reference
Frame (ITRF97). Independent processing of the GPS data within the
regional ITRF97 and rigid North America reference frames, respectively,
shows that the former moves about 12 mm/year toward N10°E
with respect to the latter. This differs somewhat from the ~8 mm/year
toward N40°W motion of the central Mojave Desert with respect
to stable North America determined from very long baseline interferometry
data (13), and this difference is essentially
absorbed by utrans. The deformation component udef(r;
t) is calculated from appropriate dislocations imposed within
the upper portion of a spherically layered viscoelastic Earth model,
consisting of an elastic upper crust underlain by a viscoelastic
lower crust and upper mantle of viscosity
c
and
m,
respectively (14).
Models are evaluated in terms of the L1 or L2 norm misfit, weighted by the data errors, with respect to the null model or a particular physical model (in the L2 case, the initial and residual variance, respectively). In particular, variance reduction is defined as 100% × (1 - residual variance/initial variance).
To estimate an afterslip model, we invert in a least squares sense the GPS data set alone for distributed right-lateral afterslip at 16- to 36-km depth on hypothetical vertical planes beneath two representative Hector Mine rupture planes (15) (red segments of Fig. 2A) yielding ~100 mm/year of afterslip on these planes. Calculated horizontal velocity is in reasonable agreement with observed velocity (Fig. 2A), but the calculated range change (Fig. 1F) is anticorrelated with the observed range change (Fig. 1E), leading to a poor fit (variance reduction = -55%). This modeling does not include any contribution of post-Landers relaxation, but its inclusion can account for only a small fraction of the observed range change. The peak-to-peak variation in range change rate over the area from late 1992 to early 1996 was about 15 mm/year (16). Furthermore, the post-Landers range change rate based on a viscoelastic coupling model (16), projected forward to the early post-Hector Mine epoch, is only 6 mm/year, so that any contribution of post-Landers relaxation beyond the 1999 Hector Mine event will probably be much smaller than the ~40 mm/year signal in the post-Hector Mine interferograms. The InSAR mismatch cannot be remedied with any distribution of deep afterslip beneath the Hector Mine rupture along a right-lateral fault, involving either deeper or more laterally extensive dislocation surfaces, nor with inclusion of post-Landers relaxation effects, and for this reason joint inversion of the InSAR and GPS data sets cannot yield a physically plausible afterslip distribution.
A model of postseismic relaxation of the lower crust and upper mantle successfully
explains these data. A grid search of residual misfit of the separate
InSAR and GPS data sets with respect to the viscoelastic deformation
model is obtained as a function of
c
and
m (Fig.
4). The misfit patterns show that mantle viscosity is between
~3 and 8 × 1017 Pa s and that
c
m;
i.e., the mantle is more ductile than the lower crust (17).
We consider a forward model with preferred values
m = ~4 × 1017
Pa s and
c = 1.1 × 1019
Pa s (Fig. 4). The calculated deformation patterns (Figs.
1D and 2B) fit the primary features of the
observed postseismic range change and horizontal velocity fields.
Variance reduction with respect to the InSAR data set is 67%. Fits
of the postseismic model to GPS time series at representative sites
(Fig. 2C) are in harmony with the exhibited time
decay over the first 8 months.
Fig. 4. Logarithmic misfit of separate InSAR (left) and GPS (right)
data sets with respect to the viscoelastic deformation model (eq. 1) as a function
of mantle viscosity and crust-to-mantle viscosity ratio. The viscosity combination
used to generate the viscoelastic forward model calculations in Figs.
1D and 2, B and C, is indicated.
Our results are consistent with the nonlinearity of upper mantle viscosity
inferred from laboratory experiments of ductile olivine flow (2).
The spatial pattern of deformation is unchanged from the earliest
post-Hector Mine interval (Figs. 1 and 3),
indicating that the same process is operative throughout the 9 months
after the earthquake. Averaged over the first 8 months, deformation
is matched best by
m ~ 3 to
8 × 1017 Pa s. In contrast, observations from 3 months
to 3 years after the 1992 Landers earthquake, 30 km
to the west, require
m ~ 6 to 8 × 1018 Pa s (16), an
order of magnitude larger. Indeed, the Hector Mine interferograms
suggest a factor of ~three increase in effective viscosity during
the first 9 months after the Hector Mine earthquake, as demonstrated
by the misfit patterns of the fault-parallel profiles as a function
of viscosity (Fig. 3D). These and corresponding
misfit patterns of two post-Landers interferograms (Fig.
3D) indicate that mantle viscosity is initially low after a large
stress step, gradually increases with time, and converges to 1 to
3 × 1019 Pa s after 1 to 3 years of relaxation.
Results obtained after the 1992 and 1999 earthquakes indicate
stress dependence of the effective viscosity of the upper mantle.
Elsewhere in the western United States, mantle viscosity as inferred from lake drainage (18) and glacial unloading (19) sources is about 1019 Pa s, about the same as inferred for the 3-month to 3-year post-Landers period. The filling of Lake Mead, Nevada, about 250 km northeast of the central Mojave Desert in a similar tectonic environment, produced long-wavelength transient crustal deformation that requires the presence of a weak mantle of viscosity ~ 1018 Pa s (20). The high ductility of the sub-Mojave Desert mantle is further supported by isotopic studies (21, 22) that associate young (<1 million years ago) mantle-derived basalts with an asthenospheric source between about 50- and 70-km depth.
Extrapolation of laboratory-derived flow laws suggests that Earth's continental crust should flow under lower stresses than does the uppermost mantle (1-4) and that the relative strength of the mantle should persist to those depths where heat transport remains predominantly conductive, about 100-km depth for a moderate geothermal gradient. However, the documented inferences of high mantle ductility throughout the western United States demand a much thinner conductive layer, and Pollitz et al. (16) pointed out that the sub-Mojave viscosity profile is consistent with an upper mantle composed of hydrous olivine with temperature between the wet and dry basalt solidus reached within the top 30 km of the mantle. Furthermore, geochemical (23) evidence suggests a mafic composition for the lower crust beneath the central Mojave desert, which could enhance its strength (24). Modeling of isostatic rebound of Lake Bonneville (25) and loading of Lake Mead (20) require a strong elastic crust about 30 km thick, consistent with our results and again suggesting behavior that is more generally applicable to the western United States.
On the other hand, other evidence supports lower crustal flow in an actively deforming continental crust. However, these processes may result from unusual thermal conditions not found in many active regions. In strongly extended crust, the requirements of isostacy (26) and observations of crustal imaging (27) strongly suggest lower crustal flow beneath metamorphic core complexes. In active mountain belts, lower crustal flow has been proposed to explain both the characteristic topography and observed partitioning among thrust, strike slip, and extensional strains (28, 29). Detailed structural mapping and geochronology in a number of core complexes show that magmatism invariably precedes upper crustal extension (30) and proposed lower crustal flow, perhaps because of delamination of the lithospheric mantle. Such a thermal event would weaken lower crustal rocks (31), whereas subsequent flow and isostatic uplift would cool and restrengthen the lower crust. Lower crustal flow beneath mountain belts is documented in overthickened crust, with lower crustal rocks at more than twice their typical depths. At depths of ~50 km or more, these rocks would be at temperatures where their behavior is expected to be ductile, explaining their inferred flow in a way that is consistent with our results. Our inference of upper mantle postseismic flow suggests that during part of the seismic cycle, the lower crust acts as a stress guide coupling the upper crust to mantle motions.
| 1. | W. F. Brace and D. L. Kohlstedt, J.
Geophys. Res. 85, 6348 (1980). |
| 2. | S.-I. Karato and P. Wu, Science
260, 771 (1993). |
| 3. | D. L. Kohlstedt, B. Evans, S. Mackwell,
J. Geophys. Res. 100, 17587 (1995). |
| 4. | G. Hirth and D. L Kohlstedt, Earth
Planet. Sci. Lett. 144, 93 (1996). |
| 5. | U.S. Geological Survey, et al.,
Seismol. Res. Lett. 71, 11 (2000). |
| 6. | D. S. Dreger and A. Kaverina, Geophys.
Res. Lett. 27, 1941 (2000). |
| 7. | D. Massonnet and K. L. Feigl, Rev.
Geophys. 36, 441 (1998). |
| 8. | R. Bürgmann, P. A. Rosen, E. J.
Fielding, Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 28, 169 (2000). |
| 9. | Interferograms are derived from SAR
data from the European Space Agency Satellite ERS-2, made available by Institute
of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Scripps Institution of Oceanography.
The image pairs were processed with precise orbital information provided
by Delft University [ R. Scharroo and P. N. A. M. Visser, J. Geophys.
Res. 103, 8113 (1998) in conjunction with a Digital Elevation Model
(DEM). Application of a boxcar filter of 1-km width and removal of the mean
and trend from the original interferograms yield slightly smoothed interferograms
with most of the effects of DEM and satellite orbital errors removed. During
the observation periods, the satellite radar was pointed at the region at
an angle of 23° from the vertical and looking from S77°E [unit
vector in the range direction Î = (0.381, -0.088,
0.921) in east-north-up coordinates]. Altitudes of ambiguity (8) are 440
m (0 to 8 months) (Fig. 1E), 43 m (1 to 9 months) (C),
and -21
m (0 to 1 month) (B). |
| 10. | J. Sauber, W. Thatcher, S. C. Solomon,
M. Lisowski, Nature 367, 264 (1994). |
| 11. | J. C. Savage and J. L. Svarc, J.
Geoph ys. Res. 102, 7565 (1997). |
| 12. | In the afterslip model, we evaluate
the static deformation on the equivalent elastic model [ F. F. Pollitz,
Geophys. J. Int. 125, 1 (1996) resulting from assumed right-lateral
shear dislocations on vertical faults beneath the seismogenic rupture. In
the viscoelastic model, we evaluate and sum the deformation resulting from
lower crust and mantle relaxation after both the Landers and Hector Mine
earthquakes. This viscoelastic deformation is determined by the Landers
[ D. J. Wald and T. H. Heaton, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 84, 668 (1994)
and Hector Mine (6) coseismic slip models in conjunction with assigned viscosities
c
and m
[ F. F. Pollitz, J. Geophys. Res. 102, 17921 (1997). |
| 13. | D. Gordon, C. Ma, J. W. Ryan, in Contributions
of Space Geodesy to Geodynamics: Crustal Dynamics, vol. 23, D. E. Smith,
Ed. (American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 1993), pp. 131-138. |
| 14. | Elastic upper crust and viscoelastic
lower crust thicknesses are 16 km and 14 km, respectively. The assigned
16-km thickness is consistent with the cutoff depth of seismicity between
about 15- and 20-km depth [ K. B. Richards-Dinger and P. M. Shearer, J.
Geophys. Res. 105, 10939 (2000), thought to coincide with the brittle-to-ductile
transition. Depth-dependent elastic parameters are constrained by seismic
information [ J. Qu, T. L. Teng, J. Wang, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am.
84, 596 (1994), and viscosities c
and m
are variable. |
| 15. | The 16-km upper depth is chosen to coincide
with the base of the coseismic slip zone, and the 36- km depth is chosen
to permit postseismic slip that is deep enough to reproduce the long-wavelength
pattern of surface displacement seen on the interferograms. |
| 16. | F. F. Pollitz, G. Peltzer, R. Bürgmann,
J. Geophys. Res. 105, 8035 (2000). |
| 17. | We tested possible stratification within
the lower crust by considering an additional model in which the lower crust
consists of two uniform layers of identical thickness, with the upper layer
three times as viscous as the lower layer. In this case, we found that optimal
mantle viscosity is in the same range as the presented model (3 to 8 ×
1017 Pa s), whereas the lower crustal viscosities are 1.7 ×
1019 Pa s and 0.6 × 1019 Pa s. The weaker crustal
layer is still much more viscous than the mantle. |
| 18. | B. G. Bills, D. R. Currey, G. A. Marshall,
J. Geophys. Res. 99, 22059 (1994). |
| 19. | T. S. James, J. J. Clague, K. Wang,
I. Hutchinson, Quat. Sci. Rev. 19, 1527 (2000). |
| 20. | G. Kaufmann and F. Amelung, J. Geophys.
Res. 105, 16341 (2000). |
| 21. | G. L. Farmer, et al., J.
Geophys. Res. 100, 8399 (1995). |
| 22. | B. L. Beard and C. M. Johnson, J.
Geophys. Res. 102, 20149 (1997). |
| 23. | A. F. Glazner, et al., J.
Geophys. Res. 96, 13673 (1991). |
| 24. | S. H. Kirby and A. K. Kronenberg, Rev.
Geophys. 25, 1219 (1987). |
| 25. | S. M. Nakiboglu and K. Lambeck, J.
Geophys. Res. 88, 10439 (1983). |
| 26. | L. Block and L. H. Royden, Tectonics
9, 557 (1990). |
| 27. | J. McCarthy, et al., J.
Geophys. Res. 96, 12259 (1991). |
| 28. | L. H. Royden, et al., Science
276, 788 (1997). |
| 29. | M. K. Clark and L. H. Royden, Geology
28, 703 (2000). |
| 30. | P. B. Gans and W. A. Bohrson, Science
279, 66 (1998). |
| 31. | D. McKenzie, et al., J.
Geophys. Res. 105, 11029 (2000). |
| 32. | Sixteen continuous GPS time series are
provided by Southern California Integrated GPS Network (SCIGN) (http://pasadena.wr.usgs.gov/scign/cgi-bin/datafile.cgi),
and 13 campaign GPS times series are provided by U.S. Geological Survey
(USGS) (http://quake.usgs.gov/research/deformation/gps/auto/
HectorMine) covering the time period 20 October 1999 to 21 June 2000 or
a portion thereof. The SCIGN measurements are referenced to ITRF97 [C. Boucher,
Z. Altamimi, P. Sillard, in IIERS Technical Note 27 (Observatoire
de Paris, Paris, France, 1999)]. The USGS measurements are referenced to
the SCIGN measurements by aligning the velocity fields at three common sites,
achieving a consistency of about 1 mm/year between the two velocity fields. |
| 33. | D. Massonnet, W. Thatcher, H.
Vadon, Nature 382, 612 (1996). |
| . | We thank D. Sandwell, W. Prescott, J.
Svarc, K. Hudnut, N. King, and S. Kirby for helpful discussions; J. Savage
and R. Stein for constructive reviews; D. Dreger for providing the Hector
Mine coseismic model; and G. Bawden for assistance with graphics. We acknowledge
the Southern California Integrated GPS Network and its sponsors, the W.
M. Keck Foundation, NASA, NSF, the U.S. Geological Survey, and the Southern
California Earthquake Center, for providing GPS data used in this study.
This paper benefited from constructive criticisms by two anonymous reviewers.
|